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Thursday, June 19, 2014

Indo-US relations: How it can shape in future?

India after independence, despite being founding fathers to Non Aligned Movement was more aligned to USSR owing to its inherent socialism in domestic development policies adopted by Indian politician. But after 1991 i.e. end of cold war, India review its foreign policy and developing closer ties with European ties and US; also taking care of its investment need in infrastructure and technological needs after New Economic Policy 1991.
In the present uni-polar world growing more towards multipolar; India relations with US is not in upswing corroborating to Khobragade issues as well as other contentious issues at WTO negotiations. But with single party govt. in India and changing world with west asia crisis, Ukraine crisis, South china sea crisis and many more, Indo-US relations will depend on different happenings at different fronts.
Nuclear Energy Front
After the signing of Henry J Hyde Indo-US Peaceful Atomic Cooperation Act which paves the way for India to buy US nuclear reactors and fuel for civilian use also including the 123 agreement on same; there is growing hope for peaceful cooperation. Although, the bone of contention can be the liability clause for US firms engaging into the same.
Trade Relations Front
India need for transfer of technology and measure to boost foreign trade and with US as major market for IT outsourcing, trade relations will move on more healthier path. India balance of trade surplus with  US has grown twice to $20 billion from 2009 to 2013. Although, at WTO and Climate change conferences and negotiations, US strongly pressing against benefits enjoyed by India and China as a developing economy rather than being into emerging economy.
Strategic Front
US being awry of China and its China containment policy with supporting Japan and Taiwan in East will go for supporting India in the west. Also with a history of restrained Indo-China relations and china policy of encircling India through string of pearls and Maritime Silk Route; India will prefer to have heavyweights by its side. In the recent past, US relation with Pakistan is in frills because of growing Islamist extremism and US drone attacks on Pakistan Afghanistan border. This further alienates India in recent future to have bilateral talks with US at much higher level.
Besides, that US still had pressing situations in Afghanistan and Iraq and premature withdrawal from america's commitments in those countries would make US to have asian ally for reconstruction. And these perfectly suits Indian viewpoint where Afghanistan stability is important from regional security and Iraq's political stability is needed to take care of India's burgeoning energy import bills.
Russia, India's closest ally but recent incidents of military helicopter sale to Pakistan and growing proximity with China after Ukraine crisis force India to raise concern with Russia at talks with US by its side.